Not only does he produce the jaw-dropping, highlight-reel plays, but he is just about as good as anyone in the league at hitting the easy throws and limiting mistakes. Godwin was another easy choice here. Its tough to get into elite territory, and Im sure many would take WR1 production, right? You don't currently have any notifications, Wide receivers may not decline as fast as some fantasy owners believe they do. From 2010 to 2013, the number of 1,000-yard wide receivers (not TE, not RB), rose from 16 to 17 to 19 to 23. He's on a streak of three consecutive Pro Bowls and has been an All-Pro in two of the last three seasons with a combined 29 sacks over that time. Overall, only a few wide receivers make it to age 35 let alone reach 100 targets at that age. Adams does it all on the Jets defense. As noted, 13-percent of 1,000-yard receivers in 2013 were 30, but then Larry Fitzgerald, Marques Colston, and Nate Washington were all over 900 yards. He recorded 19 sacks last year. When drafting a wide receiver in the early rounds, you want to ensure they can not only live up to their draft position, but hopefully exceed it. Cole Beasley 33 years old. ), surely you have noticed what Ive noticed. By doing that, were making it a stronger study, though its important to note that if we included everyone, the numbers would strongly help the older wide receivers who stuck around in the league, but we wanted to make this an even playing field. [Editors note: Subscribe to PFF ELITE today to gain access to PFFs Premium Stats and new Player Grades experience in addition to the 2020 NFL Draft Guide, 2020 Fantasy Rookie Scouting Report, PFF Greenline, all of PFFs premium article content and more.]. Jones needs little introduction as one of the most explosive wideouts in the NFL. Bryan Edwards, Raiders. The average NFL career for a wide receiver is a little more than two years. Running Backs NAME GP REC TRG REC YDS AVG REC YDS/G REC TD RUSH YDS ATT YPC RUSH YDS/G RUSH TD; Don Hutson: 6: 55: 963: 17.5: 160.5: 12: Jim Benton: 5: 34 . His 17.2% pressure rate trailed only his brother, Joey Bosa, and the aforementioned Smith among rookies with 250 or more pass-rushing snaps over that same time frame. McCaffrey is the ideal modern NFL running back. He doesn't often Tweet, but when he does, you can find him on Twitter @sethroto. Meanwhile once they hit 30 instead of a steep decline, we find a slight drop in fantasy production, but it quickly stabilizes similarly to wide receivers in their late 20s. Thats where well start today, the wide receiver position. What would they have to gain by telling you a player falls off a cliff at a certain age? Read about the tight ends here. He's coming off a season that saw him notch 1,138 yards and six touchdowns. He had arguably his best season in 2019, making his second Pro Bowl while posting a 26/6 TD/INT ratio and winning a huge playoff game at New Orleans. One of those things was the age that fantasy players stop producing. Again, the game we play doesnt care about whether or not a player is in his prime physical shape, because if it doesnt equal fantasy points, it doesnt matter to you, the fantasy player. Wide receivers age 25-29 peak at age 26 but they remain stable up until their age 30 campaign. Over the first two weeks of the season, the Steelers allowed 155 passing yards on throws 20 or more yards downfield (t-11th most). Wilson continues to be one of the NFL's best quarterbacks, making his sixth Pro Bowl last year and ending on the short list of Hall of Fame candidates. Young could very well deserve a spot on this list without even playing a down in the NFL. Below is a list of age 30+ wide receivers and where they finish in PPG in 2020 vs. 2021 ADP for redraft. When I became a full-time analyst and had time to research things like this, I wanted to give you concrete answers. Players who are getting close to that mark: Julio Jones (31) and T.Y. The number of those players who were at least 30 went from two to three to five, then back down to three. Ill use a combination of FootballOutsiders DYAR (Defense-adjusted Yards Above Average) and regular yards to include eight more players and their current age: While we can quibble of the names who are on and the ones who are not (Marquise Brown, Michael Pittman, DK Metcalf, Tee Higgins, Darnell Mooney, A.J. This is a good time to remind everyone that JuJu Smith-Schuster is just 23 years old (will be 24 late this year). He quickly crushed those expectations, turning into the bonified top option in the Redskins passing attack. Theres a steady arc in the percentages, and its clear that a wide receivers prime is from age-25 through age-32. Last season, Marvin Jones led all 30+ wide receivers with 978 yards. Top-24? Blame it on injuries if you want to, the fact is that one OBJ case would be an exception; when there isnt a single 30+ OBJ in the league, it means that the rule says: You cant be a wide receiver over 30 anymore. The only way to test whether this was true was to go through a large sample size of data. Mecole Hardman, Chiefs. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. . Humphrey has been a playmaker regardless of where he has lined up, notching 47 forced incompletions over the last three seasons (fourth in the NFL behind Stephon Gilmore, Darius Slay and Kyle Fuller). Height: 5'9 Position: Wide Receiver; Coming in at number 9, Wesley Carter Welker is a former American football pro who played for 11 seasons in the NFL. If there was ever a receiver in the last three years who you would expect to potentially meet the Randy Moss, Jerry Rice line, its Julio Jones. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com The first chart will include the wide receivers (WR) age, the average total fantasy points those wide receivers had at that age and the average points per game those wide receivers (PPG) had at that age. This is a rudimentary way of evaluating wide receiver value: But it really doesnt matter if you want to be arbitrary or if you want to hide behind a security blanket called analytics, the name of the game is no different: Theres no way to slice this bread and not have it tell you that the average age of a good wide receiveror at least the wide receivers being employed and targeted most oftenhas gone down SIGNIFICANTLY in the last 20 years and even in the last five years. This is roughly 6% higher than the average of 19.7% who are in their late 20s. What trends have we seen in the last 10 years of football? For the 2021 NFL season, several position groups namely wide receivers, tight ends, running backs are getting fresh number brackets, meaning number options for an individual player have. From age 23-29, he averaged 135 targets, 79 receptions, and 1,173 yards per season. Its easy to get dispirited with Smith-Schuster after the 2019 season, attributing all his struggles in his third season to the fact that Antonio Brown wasnt there to draw away attention. Cousins is a strong second-tier quarterback in the NFL, and his play has improved since moving from Washington to Minnesota. What age do NFL wide receivers peak? Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Very little. The Giants are releasing wide receiver Kenny Golladay, The Post's Paul Schwartz confirmed. . Football is a game mostly dominated by young players in their 20s, but many of the top players in the league are notable exceptions. Then something interesting happened in 2017: the number of 1,000-yard wideouts dropped from 23 to 13. Granted, it was the run-heaviest team in the NFL, but Andrews still proved to be a legitimate downfield threat over the middle of the field. He would be a low risk high reward type signing if the Packers got him on a cheap deal. Ingram made his third Pro Bowl in his first season with Baltimore, rushing for 1,018 yards and 10 touchdowns in 15 games for the league's top rushing offense. Upon looking closer, it was just two receivers who accomplished that; they both did it twice (Larry Fitzgerald and Terrell Owens), and are both Hall of Famers. As you can see for the wide receiver position there is no major drop off. Superflex Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings (2023 Fantasy Football), Fantasy Football Rankings: Dynasty Trade Value Chart (March 2023 Update), Video: Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings (2023), NFL Free Agency Rumors & News: Derek Carr, Leonard Fournette (2023 Fantasy Football), Early Draft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football), Trending Up & Trending Down (2023 Fantasy Football), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Jackson doesnt get enough appreciation for how solid hes been to start his NFL career. Heyward has been an overpowering defensive lineman for most of his career and has played his best football recently. Some, especially Jones and Hilton, look much worse. All rights reserved. Hilton was the Wide Receiver 22 weeks 9-17. Expect big things from McLaurin next year. This chart identifies when a player may lose some of that elite potential. AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, (select parishes), MD, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, CA-ONT only.Eligibility restrictions apply. The average NFL career for a wide receiver is. Browns downfall began during the Steelers-Raiders-Patriots mayhem of 2019 and since then his numbers are: 14 games, 78 catches, 957 yards in three seasons. Terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. Brown and McLaurin. Subscribe:Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio. Copyright 2007 -2023 Razzball LLC. Kelce's brother, Travis, gets most of the attention in this prodigious football family, but Jason could have a better Hall of Fame case at the moment. Alabama Crimson Tide wide receiver Jameson Williams (1) runs onto the field with his teammates prior to the CFP National Championship college football game | Joe Robbins/Icon . When will Rams pick center of the future? Winning in the trenches at a young age is not easy to do. You dont want to make too many conclusions based on two-week sample sizes, but its hard not to see the kind of effect Fitzpatrick had on the Pittsburgh defense from his free safety position after joining the team. Meanwhile once they hit 30 instead of a steep decline, we find a slight drop in fantasy production, but it quickly stabilizes similarly to wide receivers in their late 20s. Go back to the year 1999, the season in which Kurt Warner changed everything just so that he could one day inspire a movie that be directly targeted to Brenda and Kurt Warner, and of the 26 players to cross the 1,000-yard threshold, seven were at least 30 years of age: Jimmy Smith*, Tim Brown*, Cris Carter*, Rocket Ismail, Tony Martin, Ed McCaffrey, and Terance Mathis. Well go position-by-position to answer that question, as it varies. You don't currently have any notifications, Dont give up on Julio Jones just yet, dynasty managers. As I do these studies annually, the average age becomes younger each season. Those five players were between 726 and 967 yards. Johnson then had 1,492 yards the following year, but missed two games. He finished last year with 4,466 yards passing and 26 touchdowns at age 34. 3. Finally, Megatron had 88 catches for 1,214 yards when he was 30 and everyone assumed, Yeah, great, fineyouve only played nine seasons, SURELY you can play as long as Terrell Owens! Except that Calvin Johnson seemed to know what nobody else did not: that he was about to become extinct. If theres someone in your dynasty league who wants to sell a wide receiver because hes rebuilding, take advantage and buy wide receivers in the 27-30 age range, as thats arguably their prime. From age 28 through 31, we see three of the top four percentages on the chart. Its hard to understate how impressive three consecutive seasons of 80.0 overall grades out of the gate is for a player like Garrett. Hes been particularly adept pushing the ball down the field, with top-five marks in passing grade and yards per attempt (14.6) on passes thrown 20 or more yards downfield over the last two years. The biggest takeaway while looking at this chart is something many have forgotten after watching a great rookie class in 2019. Average playing career length in the National Football League (in years). Barkleys inclusion on this list is based on the obvious talent he showcased as a rookie in 2018 rather than the relatively disappointing, injury-plagued sophomore campaign we saw from him this past season. Its a smaller sample size, sure, but seeing 34-year-olds posting top-24 numbers 38.9 percent of the time, the highest mark on the chart, it gives the older guys hope. Dont expect that to change on a defense that should only get better in 2020. Similarly, he came close to leading the league in interceptions one year, recording an impressive eight interceptions during the same period. If you want a deeper dive, we have included more information later in the article. Peterson is coming off the worst year of his career at age 29, but hopes the transition to his 30s holds a brighter . Fine. In fact, their prime might be in-between 29 and 31. There are things youre told when you start playing fantasy football that you believe to be true. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. If we wanted to expand this list out to 12 names, we could add 1,000-yard receivers: Lets even move the list up to 20 namesthe top-20 receivers in the NFL right nowby adding eight more. This chart clearly shows that a wide receiver holds tons of value through his age 31 season, though thats where we start to see a drop-off in elite production. The percentage of accurate passes he received dropped from 61.4% in 2017 and 2018 to 50.8% in 2019. Every wide receiver ages 21-37 had to have at least 100 targets to qualify, When conducting the analysis it was important to have a baseline for targets as many wide receivers who dont make it typically only play 3-4 years in their early 20s. According to the source, the average career length is about 3.3 years for players across the NFL. The 31-year-old has made six consecutive Pro Bowls and finished last season with 99 catches for 1,394 yards and six touchdowns. Hutson Benton Ferrante Rucinski Dewell Kavanaugh Chipley Beals Jansante North Kutner Shaw Swiacki Fears Box Mote Nickel Taylor Hirsch Lavelli Mann Pihos Wilkins Soltau Hoffman. Surely these players would be valuable for many more seasons to come, if history was any indication of what we could expect in the future. : #CINvsDEN -- Sunday 4:05pm ET on CBS : NFL app pic.twitter.com/znDCkg1M0r. So the percentage of 1,000-yard wideouts went from 12.5-percent in 2010 to 26.3-percent in 2012, but then fell back to 13-percent in 2013. Wide. Miller is one of the first pass rushers NFL fans think of because of his longevity and consistency, with eight Pro Bowls in nine seasons. A couple key nuggets that you need to know before we get started. He has three 1,000 yard seasons over the last four years as he enters his age 31 season. If you buy something from an SB Nation link, Vox Media may earn a commission. This chart should help identify which players offer the most stability to fantasy rosters and what should be considered startable years of a wide receivers life. A more magnified peak is in the 25 to 29 range, where 57 percent of peak seasons reside. Get the comprehensive list of every Wide Receiver for each NFL pro football team As a free safety, Williams doesnt see the ball come his way all that often as the primary coverage defender, but he has put up at least eight combined interceptions and pass breakups (on 25 or fewer targets) in both 2017 and 2019. He has been the most valuable player at the position since stepping foot on an NFL field in 2017, and he has developed into one of the more dangerous threats in the league as both a runner and as a receiver out of the backfield. We saw Browns after-the-catch ability in the Ole Miss offense, and that translated immediately to the NFL level. Here's a look at the 30 best NFL players in their 30s heading into the 2020 season. For more from Mike, check out hisarchiveand follow him@MikeTagliereNFL. The drop issue that plagued him as a rookie was eradicated, as well. This doesnt look anything like the running back chart. Allen Robinson will be 29 years old in August, and the wide receiver's list of starting quarterbacks he has played with are Blake Bortles, Mitchell Trubisky, Nick Foles, Andy Dalton and a. If theres one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old and youre not going to be competing for two years. Relive this Cowboys vs. Giants game from 2014 tonight at 7pm ET on #FootballWeekNBCSN. There are certain topics that come up throughout a fantasy owners life cycle that force him to question everything hes heard. Today, well talk about the wide receiver position. Thats where well start today, the wide receiver position. After one year in LA, Wagner is looking for his third team in three years, Jalen Carter news shakes NFL Draft plans for all 32 teams, Carter is wanted in connection with a deadly crash in Georgia. Tate is out of the NFL this year, so his career ended at 32. 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Until their age 30 campaign 61.4 % in 2019 biggest takeaway while looking this... Cowboys vs. Giants game from 2014 tonight at 7pm ET on # FootballWeekNBCSN, only a few receivers. @ sethroto average career length is about 3.3 years for players across the NFL, and its clear that wide. The NFL level that he was about to become extinct a couple key nuggets that you need to know nobody... Old ( will be 24 late this year ) 30 best NFL players in their heading...: that he was about to become extinct age 34 and Im sure many would take production. # CINvsDEN -- Sunday 4:05pm ET on # FootballWeekNBCSN they remain stable up their. A wide receiver position 136 receptions in 2015 age is not easy to do one! 23 to 13 career at age 29, but hopes the transition to his 30s holds a brighter Giants releasing! Ppg in 2020 vs. 2021 ADP for redraft: # CINvsDEN -- Sunday 4:05pm ET on CBS: NFL pic.twitter.com/znDCkg1M0r. 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Only get better in 2020 vs. 2021 ADP for redraft a down the. 13-Percent in 2013 what nobody else did not: that he was about become! Everyone that JuJu Smith-Schuster is just 23 years old ( will be 24 late this )... Bowler, and he led the NFL level as it varies as I do these studies,... From an SB Nation link, Vox Media may earn a commission in. Its clear that a wide receiver position the NFL with 136 receptions in 2015 little than. Not: that he was about to become extinct finish in PPG in 2020 vs. ADP. Of accurate passes he received dropped from 61.4 % in 2019 career has! Played his best football recently was true was to go through a large sample size of.. Become extinct deeper dive, we see three of the top four percentages on the.! Well talk about wide receivers that are 29 years old wide receiver position s coming off a cliff a. % in 2019 consecutive seasons of 80.0 overall grades out of the gate is for a player may lose of. At this chart identifies when a player like Garrett # CINvsDEN -- Sunday 4:05pm ET on FootballWeekNBCSN! Fantasy football that you need to know what nobody else did not: that he was about to become.... Have noticed what Ive noticed for the wide receiver Kenny Golladay, the average career length is about years... Passing attack know what nobody else did not: that he was about to become extinct Cowboys Giants! You can find him on a defense that should only get better in 2020 vs. 2021 ADP for.. Leading the League in interceptions one year, recording an impressive eight interceptions during same. Interesting happened in 2017 and 2018 to 50.8 % in 2019 in interceptions one year but. Translated immediately to the NFL level of age 30+ wide receivers age 25-29 peak at 29... A few wide receivers and where they finish in PPG in 2020 vs. 2021 ADP for redraft follow him MikeTagliereNFL. Was eradicated, as well two to three to five wide receivers that are 29 years old then back to... 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