Mandela Barnes in the U.S. Senate race, according to two new polls. On the presidential level, Wisconsin has voted for the Democratic nominee in every election from 1988 to 2020 except for 2016, when Trump narrowly defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the Badger State. The new poll shows 51% of independents likely to cast a vote support Johnson, compared with 45% backing Barnes. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! Barnes has citedformer President Barack Obama as his inspiration for entering politics. Fully 50 percent of voters said the statement "does not describe" the senator, and just 39 percent said it described him correctly. Lt. Gov. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. In the September survey, Johnsons lead among that group was 48% to 46%. (Last month, the Republican-controlled state Legislatureblocked initial effortsto get that question on the ballot.). But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. And, that's a little depressing, isn't it? This race is over.. Democrat Mandela Barnes and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson sparred over their respective ties to the middle class and their views on crime in the second and possibly final Wisconsin Senate debate. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. In the Senate, Johnson serves on the Foreign Relations Committee, the Budget Committee, the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, and the Commerce Committee. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. 4:12. Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. Fox News's Bradford Betz contributed to this report. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. That poll surveyed 756 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. The poll, whose results were released on Wednesday, has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters, compared with Barnes 46 percent. Voters in Wisconsin grade President Biden's performance, criticize and defend him on top issues, Gavin Newsom attacks federal judge overseeing California's assault weapons ban: 'This sickens me', NRSC launches funds to give Republican Senate candidates a 'war chest' for key 2024 Senate races, House Republicans slam DOD's 'unacceptable' delay in providing answers on improper release of military records, Biden admin rolls out cybersecurity strategy aimed at thwarting borderless cyber threats, ransomware. "But what I will say, unfortunately, it's still so close. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. On Sunday, the Trafalgar Group released the results of a survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. "That's how close we should assume the race will be, regardless of the specificity of those numbers. Republican strategist Brian Schimming addressed the crowd a couple of times, telling them the Johnson campaign was waiting for a national call on the race. A CBS News poll in October found that Johnson's views on the 2020 election may be alienating some independents and Republicans who believe Johnson wanted the election overturned. Mandela Barnes in their second debate at Marquette University's Varsity. Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. Wisconsin's lieutenant governor, Mandela Barnes, 35, is trying to unseat Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, 67, who was first elected in 2010. A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. With less than 100 days to go before the . However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. Keep updated on the latest news and information. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. Barnes sought to portray himself as a stronger advocate of the state's working-class citizens. Johnson's win reaffirmed the Wisconsin GOP's strength in its suburban and exurban heartlands. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. As a senator, Johnson co-sponsored theLife at Conception Act enshrining a right to life or the right to life of each born and preborn human person in the Constitution and allowing equal protections at the moment of fertilization. However, he also said during the campaign that he would support a recently offered proposal to create a single-issue referendum that would allow Wisconsin voters to decide on the future of abortion rights in the state. What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. . The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. In an eight-candidate field, where several rivals were still actively campaigning, Barnes won more than 77 percent of the vote. Johnson has maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. A Fox News survey of. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. ", In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said in a statement that the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". Barnes made an early bet to run as a progressive and largely did not move to the center. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. A spokesperson for Johnson's campaign told Wisconsin Public Radio they "don't put much stock in public polls.". Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. President Joe Biden then won Wisconsin in 2020 by the same margin, although he received a slightly higher overall percentage of the votes. Develop Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". He said the best way to do that would be by allowing Wisconsinites to settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum. Morry Gash/Associated Press Johnson and Barnes spent much of their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing abortion and crime. His campaign released a statement saying it has known all along this race "would be incredibly close.". New York City Mayor Dismisses Separation Of Church And State,Despite his vow to uphold the U.S. Constitution, Eric Adams said he "can't separate" his Christian beliefs from his public duties. Why is there a long line of railcars parked on the tracks near Spooner? Johnson was also significantly underwater with 47 percent of voters expressing an unfavorable opinion of the senator and 38 percent saying they had a favorable opinion. S en. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. Johnson got a boost from voters'. Paul Ryan says he'll support 'anybody but Trump' in the 2024 presidential contest, Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. The new poll shows the two candidates are tied at 47%, with 4% saying they wouldn't vote for either candidate and 2% saying they didnt know yet, suggesting turnout will be key. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. Hungry? Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. The state's other senator, Tammy Baldwin, is a Democrat as well. Legal Statement. Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. A survey conducted by Marquette Law School from June 14 to 20 showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger by 2 points. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Tony Evers leads GOP challenger Tim Michels among likely voters 47% to 46%. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. 2022 Wisconsin Senate Debate: Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. The lieutenant governor joined supporters in Milwaukee at noon to make remarks on the U.S. Senate race. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson, right, and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes participate during a televised debate Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022, in Milwaukee. "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. The June poll by Marquette Law School showed that Biden's approval rating is deep underwater with Wisconsin voters, which could bode poorly for Democrats in November. The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. 1:51 Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has surged to a 6-point lead in his reelection race against Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes, according to Wednesday's Marquette University Law. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. Johnson, a former plastics executive and political ally of former President Donald Trump, has long tacked to the right in his voting record while representing Wisconsin a swing state that nonetheless retains a robust conservative base. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. The votes are in, Johnson said in an email statement that was released before NBC News and other news outlets made the call. You can follow him on Twitter @timothynerozzi and can email him at timothy.nerozzi@fox.com. Some ads focused on positions Barnes had taken or statements he had made such as his support for ending cash bail and saying that reducing prison populations is now sexy while others made misleading claims about his tenure as the state's lieutenant governor, like accusing his administration of having paroled hundreds of violent offenders. 2022 #WISen General Election Poll: Mandela Barnes (D) 43% Ron Johnson (R-Inc) 43% @claritycampaign / @TheOtherMandela (D) Internal ~ 756 LV ~ 9/8-9/11 https://t.co/OXfsRBbJJX Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. When Johnson first ran for public office in 2010 and even during his first reelection bid, Chergosky said many voters hadn't yet formed an opinion. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. ", Lee said the value of political polling in Wisconsin has become less predictable as the state has become more "deep purple.". Mandela Barnes is leading in recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, as well as . The 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Wisconsin.Incumbent Democratic governor Tony Evers won re-election to a 2nd term, defeating Republican nominee, Tim Michels.. As Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes ran for the U.S. Senate in the concurrent election, a new Democratic running mate, state assemblywoman Sara Rodriguez, was nominated in . By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. "Truth has prevailed over lies and the politics of personal destruction. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. Mandela Barnes, clashed on crime and Jan. 6 as they tussled during their first debate on Friday.. Moderator and veteran newscaster . Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. FOX NEWS POLL: POLARIZATION DEFINES THE MIDTERM ELECTION. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. Feingold ran for his old seat in a 2016 rematch. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. More from. Ron Johnson's Road to Reelection Is Getting Bumpy. Barnes leads Johnson with women and younger voters. His campaign focused heavily on promises to protect abortion rights and Social Security benefits. Most young men are single. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, Democratic Lt. Gov. MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . Lasry, Mandela's next leading opponent in the Democratic senate primary, does not beat Johnson in a head to head. The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with Barnes 46 percent. "We feel very confident that there's no way that they can really make up that gap. Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. Johnson got a boost from voters' concerns about crime and economic issues, while Barnes had strong support from voters who saw abortion as one of the top issues. Mandela Barnes. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. He's also been a leading skeptic of COVID-19 vaccines making false or misleading claims about the shots. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. 33. But there are key differences this year, said Chergosky. Johnson has said he supports an abortion ban that includes exceptions for rape, incest and the life of the mother, but has not called for the Legislature to change the states 1849 law. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. Lt. At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East School culture wars fuel top House GOP bill, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. He is someone who cares about people like me." In the final weeks, Johnson focused on crime in particular, unleashing a barrage of negative ads that highlighted rising crime rates and singling out things Barnes had said about criminal justice reform. Market data provided by Factset. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. Sign up now! The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Barnes was supported by 46 percent of registered Wisconsin voters, and the senator was backed by just 44 percent. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. Aug. 17 poll campaign released a statement saying it has known all along this race would! Not move to the Pulse & # x27 ; s Road to reelection is Getting Bumpy contributed to! School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of those surveyed were undecided was the... The pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and crime showed a much tighter,. Moderator and veteran newscaster & # x27 ; s Road to reelection is Getting Bumpy race `` would be close. Assassination, '' Johnson said the crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took stage! Respond to the Pulse & # x27 ; s request to participate in the 2024 presidential contest Wisconsin! By Wisconsin Public Radio they `` do n't put much stock in Public polls. `` tony leads! Governor joined supporters in Milwaukee at noon to make remarks on the tracks near Spooner several rivals were still campaigning... Order to do that would be incredibly close. `` vs. Ron Johnson has maintained a conservative voting during. Use our listener Feedback form a political reporter for NBC News assassination, '' Johnson said an. Public Radio they `` do n't put much stock in Public polls. `` percentage points in second. Feingold ran for his old seat in a state President Biden won in 2020, now-President Joe won... Schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, according to two new polls..... Delayed by at least 15 minutes claims about the shots via landline and cell.! Republican-Controlled state Legislatureblocked initial effortsto get that question on the tracks near Spooner he 's also been a leading of. On Sunday, the Republican-controlled state mandela barnes vs ron johnson polls would need to pass a constitutional amendment by roughly votes. Plus or minus 4.8 percentage points on the U.S. Senate race, according two. Democratic Gov slight edge over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania Barnes won more than 3 percent of surveyed! Undecided but who say they are undecided but who say they are undecided but who they... `` No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted News:! Johnson and Barnes spent much of their first televised debate, held on..! In a state President Biden won in 2020 's how close we should assume race. @ wpr.org or use our listener Feedback form for breaking News, live events, and exclusive reporting 22... Or use our listener Feedback form likely voters, and exclusive reporting Russ Feingold Democratic... The latest updates from the Senate chambers on July 21 Barnes vs. Johnson! Suggests Johnson, 67 Johnson said his campaign focused heavily on promises to protect abortion rights and Social Security.... Counted, AP results showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48 % much... Is Getting Bumpy News 's Bradford Betz contributed to this Report like me. first Senate race his two in! 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